49/49 exit polls. If Romney does not capture Virginia his path to 270 is very difficult
Tuesday, November 6, 2012
My pick, but don't bet on it
I waited until very late in the game, but I am choosing who the electorate will pick for the next president of United States. Barack Obama.
I think he will win Pennsylvania by a slim margin, and when all Ohio by and even slimmer margin. He may even win Florida by the slimmest of slim margins. He will win New Jersey by a large margin, which is fitting since the governor of that state is not slim at all…
Others have said Obama will win, others have said Romney will win, and some have even said that Romney will win by a wide margin..
Time will tell.. Watching like you are..
Trying to read the tea leaves on TV
I was watching coverage of the election on all three major networks, CNN, Fox, and MSNBC. On those programs during interviews, Republicans look a little nervous and Democrats look a little overconfident. Not sure if my observations mean anything, it could just be that Republicans are nervous and Democrats are overconfident, or it could mean that exit polls show a substantial margin of victory for president Obama..
We won’t know officially until later, or even later than later, but I will continue to read the tea leaves and follow the airwaves along with reading as many websites and blogs as I can to find out if anyone can prognosticate who the president will be before the election gets called officially..
And what time the official recognition of a president comes? That is where the night could get long..
Final calls from pundits and prognosticators. Plus Katy Perry in a skin tight latex ballot outfit.
Election day predictions.. from pundits and soothsayers. Will they say anything if they are wrong?
Dick Morris predicts from a limb: Romney 325, Obama 213..
Michael Tomasky Obama 294, Romeny 244
Nate Silver: Obama 303, Romney 235
Michael Barone: Romney 315, Obama 223
Ezra Klein: Obama 290, Romney 248
George Will: Romney 321, Obama 217
Markos Moulitsas: Obama 332, Romney 206
Karl Rove: Romney 285, Obama 253
Jim Cramer: Obama 440, Romney 98
John Miller: Obama 294, Romney 244
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Meanwhile, stars have made their pick. Springsteen, Lady Gaga, and others have appeared at rallies to sing for Obama. The latest is Katy Perry, whodecided to wear a skin tight ‘ballot’ outfit. Obama was checkmarked near her waist while Romney went blank near her crotch. 2012 is serious stuff. Minus Katy Perry.
Monday, November 5, 2012
THE CHOICE
America is set to vote..
All the ads, all the money.. all now history. The real story begins and ends with each citizen, in the polling place, deciding who should run the school board, the county.. the congress.. the nation. All up to Mr. And Mrs. Citizen. Joe Sixpack. All of those corny phrases ..
The election may be close, so the experts say. The pundits also tell us it could be disputed. Which means even more so that every vote counts. Remember in the year 2000? Votes counted then. Of course the real vote was the Supreme Court, their words certainly had more weight..
Nonetheless, in the year 2012, what is the choice?
Each campaign has framed the debate his (or her) own way.
But none of the frames matter.
The negative ads? They are meaningless too.
The debates? They meant something, but don’t know.
No, now you count.
You mean something.
You are the person who gets to decide.
There is something special about a free and fair election. We in America assume we have those things still. Hopefully our assumption will not be disproven by widespread fraud.. keep the fraud at a minimum. And in Philadelphia. But during a free election, you can walk into a polling place in silence, head held high, cast your choice, and walk out proud. Will your vote be counted? Well, that is for another time and place. But knowing you can do what you did without worry or trepidation or repudiation? Well, that feels alright …
So go make it count. Regardless of the candidate that you have bought into, no matter the talking points you have recited, just go and be silent in that polling place. Your vote speaks a million words.
AMERICA’S CHOICE, 2012.
For better or worse. Here we go.
Sunday, November 4, 2012
How the world sees post Sandy USA
The UK Daily Mail writes that fear, crime, looting, and scavenging for food has taken over areas still powerless..
I’d love to hear from people to tell me if it really is that bad..
Saturday, November 3, 2012
"They are finding bodies left and right, elderly people who don’t even watch the news or who knew the storm was coming."
Those are the words spoken by SONS OF ANARCHY star Theo Rossi. He said that Hurricane Sandy’s aftermath is much worse than how the media is portraying it.. Here is the full quote as reported by EW:
It’s so bad here, a lot worse than how its being portrayed by the media. They are finding bodies left and right, elderly people who don’t even watch the news or who knew the storm was coming. I was just with one of my best friends from high school and college, and his house is completely gone. One story I heard was about this one guy who evacuated his house during Hurricane Irene but then it got looted. So when they told him to evacuate for Sandy, he said, ‘I’m not leaving.’ Now they can’t find him, his 13-year-old daughter is dead, and his wife is in critical condition at the hospital. These are the stories. My stepfather and my mother, I love them to death. But when they heard the storm was coming, they said, ‘It’s not going to be that bad. Irene didn’t do anything.’ They had two flashlights and a couple of scented candles. Little did they know. It’s just not worth it. If you’re told to evacuate, you need to get out.
Other reports are numerous of people dressing up like ConEd employees, robbing people at gunpoint. There are videos of Senator Chuck Schumer being told that with more cold nights like the previous few, more people will die..
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Another storm is on the map.. It could bring wind, rain, and snow for the Northeast after election day..
The troubling part: Sand dunes that protected areas from beach flooding road flooding has been obliterated.. What may occur here is good..
I believe the unfortunate series of events appear to be set to continue..
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Friday, November 2, 2012
Wednesday, October 31, 2012
Hurry up it’s Halloween ..
Be safe out there.
(And don’t watch this video if you are wearing a mask. See Halloween 3 for reasons why)
NOW WEATHER MODELS ARE SHOWING ANOTHER STORM NEXT WEEK!
The same places hit by Sandy, me included, may have a potential Nor’Easter come next week.. by election day.. Oh boy. This isn’t good, it cannot be good.. hopefully weather models are wrong… Hopefully…
NOW WEATHER MODELS ARE SHOWING ANOTHER STORM NEXT WEEK!
Halloween, Sandy..and countless tales of varied human emotions.
Still trying to get my head the superstorm and how much it has changed lives along the East Coast. There is suddenly a ton of nostalgia for the Jersey shore, as Governor Chris Christie says that the coastline is forever changed. Looking at images of fire and flooding, you cannot doubt that. Even more, Queens is burning with 100 homes turned into ashes.. reports of fires breaking out throughout the affected region due to gas lines or electric lines.. or who knows what.. The aftermath still isn’t fully sinking in. 6.5 million are still without power this morning—and this morning in the Northeast is very cold.. And in West Virginia, it’s even colder with feet of snow falling instead of inches, weighing down trees and branches and most certainly causing further power disruptions.. This was a storm for the record books. Did you notice, though, how many storm for the record books are happening lately? Maybe then this storm is simply a harbinger of disaster to come..
Tonight, along many of the towns destroyed and leveled by this storm, were going to have innocent children trick or treat. Those plans are off. Instead, on a night when ghosts and goblins should have been walking the streets, true horror has taken center stage.
The images being seen are unfathomable. Unthinkable.
Consider this: There are massive waves along Lake Erie due to the Superstorm. There were high winds as far as Ohio… This storm struck the entire East Coast, not only the coastline, but inland. More than a dozen states were affected by Hurricane Sandy.
That is monumental. That is amazing.. That is unbelievable.
The ‘COMING GLOBAL SUPERSTORM’ was a book written by Whitley Streiber and Art Bell late in the 20th century. In the fiction novel based on fact, they claimed earth changes were going to get so severe so quickly that once normal storms would evolve quickly into ‘superstorms’ with a warm ocean and nothing to stop them. I fondly rememebr Matt Lauer interviewing both Streiber and Bell on the TODAY show about the book, joking about their assertions and mocking the ‘superstorm’ title as a clever scare tactic.. More than a decade later the ‘quickening’ of everything seems to be setting in. The superstorm is not coming, but is here.
One year ago in my area, we were slammed with a Halloween snow storm that dumped feet of snow. This year it’s a superstorm that has decimated a number of cities, and killed at least 50. It also killed in Cuba..
A moving story from my state of Pennsylvania is stuck in my head. A father in Susquehanna County lost his 8-year-old son. The boy was going out to see if the family pets were safe… when his father said to go back in the house, he listened and was killed by a falling tree. The dad was interviewed in my local WNEP-TV news in tears saying he kept his son warm until the responders arrived..
I don’t know about you.. There were the nurses in New York City walking in the dark down dozens of stairs with sick premature babies in hand to get them to safety..
Humanity.
Innocence lost.
Heartache and heart break.. Sadness and nostalgia.
After Hurricane Katrina in 2005, we were told that was a Hurricane the likes of which we would never see again in our collective lifetime. Maybe that is correct, as the new ‘norm’ is superstorms..
Did you see any headlines this year from Asia? Probably not. But if you would have you would have known that their typhoons this year were remarkably strong….and killed lots of people in the path of each storm.
There are countless stories of heroism from Sandy the Superstorm. Unfortunately there are also countless amounts of tragedy.
What does this mixture of sadness and goodness mean? What does it say about the existence of God? What doesn’t it?
I frankly don’t know at all.
Some people will do one of two things in the aftermath: They will either cling to God or resist the idea he exists. And it will be directly due to what they have seen during this storm.
We are products of our surroundings.
As the storm winds down, the surroundings have become truly bleak for millions of people..
Tuesday, October 30, 2012
My mind boggled by the images I am seeing
It’s Halloween Eve. But real horror has displaced the fictitious.
There is more horror than this blanketing airwaves and net streams.. The aftermath of Sandy is unbelievable .. The destruction caused is unfathomable..
Stay tuned, I will have many more thoughts on this. I have been without power due to the storm as well, and now that I am seeing the images on TV my mind is completely shocked.. I am at a loss for words, but will find the words to presents my thoughts in a coherent manner (or at least try)..
There is something frightening about three transformers exploding outside your house at 1am. And something even more eerie about your home plunged into cold and darkness. It stops feeling like your house.
I have a theory, one born from that very feeling today of being isolated in my own home. I believe electricity has a feeling to it, I believe that electricity can make you feel alive and good.. and in a sense God or whatever made us is electricity (ever hear the idea of the electrical universe?) Anyway just a theory.
In the mean time.. I cannot even imagine how one starts to rebuild along the Jersey shore, or how one starts to clean up lower Manhattan, or how one digs out of three feet of snow like in West Virginia. Actually I do know how someone digs out of three feet of snow… as we do here in the coal region of PA, when the snow is measured in feet and not inches, call a guy with a plow.
Sandy strikes
Three very loud explosions and power gone ..
But I’m not alone. There’s 7 million of us out of power now, and a big club.
Tonight feels eerie.. It’s creepy with the wind blowing listening to AM radio, prophets who predict doom and truck drivers who see gloom..
Monday, October 29, 2012
Tonight on Coast to Coast AM: Hurricane Coverage..
And on the program will be one of my favorite guests (mostly because he was a staple of Art Bell’s show): John Hogue. He is the Nostradomus expert. And if you read what he wrote about a year ago, he actually predicted some type of carnage and nation-paralyzing tropical storms. Maybe he was right? See his article here
If he wasn’t right, you’re still sure to hear George Noory mangle words and callers claim Bigfoot did it.
I sure miss Art Bell.
Here at Coal Speaker home base
The winds are truly ferocious right now. I am actively getting candles and flashlights ready.. My son is sleeping. It’s been a long evening waiting for these winds, but now it’s close to 60 to 70MPH gusts .. incredible power. Lights are flickering. I don’t believe I’ll be here much longer than this. Goodnight for now. Unless power is out for days, see you tomorrow.
AP reporting on NYC's dark night
The AP dispatch goes:
Much of New York was plunged into darkness Monday by a superstorm that overflowed the city’s historic waterfront, flooded the financial district and subway tunnels and cut power to nearly a million people.
AP reporting on NYC's dark night
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Thank you for the fact check from THEPETE on the subway photo I posted that wasn’t technically the ‘subway’. And if you don’t follow THEPETE on Tumblr you should.
The initial explosion at the Con Ed Plant, E14th and FDR.
And here is WHEN the lights DID go out on Broadway, and all of Lower Manhattan. Check out this video, fast forward to 3:10 minutes. Then the lights really went out..NYC 2012.
Different circumstance, I know. But Billy Joel’s song MIAMI 2017 (SEEN THE LIGHTS GO OUT ON BROADWAY) is hitting a nerve tonight.. Good lucky New York City.. and all others along the coast who are battered and bruised by the superstorm known as Sandy.
The storm surge rushing through the Battery Tunnel. Wow..
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I cannot even believe my eyes.. Take a look at this image shot by A Burton of Getty Images. It’s water rushing into an underground parking garage in New York City. I am stunned at the sights.. Lots more images like this around the net tonight, including some amazing shots of lower Manhattan in the dark with power out.
AN EVENT OF IMMENSE PROPORTIONS TAKING PLACE RIGHT NOW IN NEW YORK CITY.. LOWER MANHATTAN IS FACING SEVERE FLOODING
REPORTS UP TO 4 FEET OF WATER IN SOME PLACES.
WALL STREET IN THE ZONE..
GROUND ZERO IN THE FLOOD AREA..
SUBWAY TUNNELS BEING FLOODED…
THE HUDSON RIVER RIGHT NOW IS RISING FROM BOTH ENDS
This is a dramatic situation playing out on LIVE TV. Choose your favorite news network now. Unless you’re one of the 2+ million without power due to Hurricane Sandy.
The NYC subway system is being threatened by historic flooding..
The Hudson is coming up over the sea wall.. Wind gusts still are hitting the sitting at 90mph.
The next two to three hours are going to be very difficult..
Great link for my fellow Coal Regioners here in Pennsylvania: A live up to the minute PPL ELECTRIC page telling you where the power is out right now..
I hope I don’t see a dot show up on the map above my neck of the woods. Nonethless, the unpredictable nature of this weather has us all on edge..
Great link for my fellow Coal Regioners here in Pennsylvania: A live up to the minute PPL ELECTRIC page telling you where the power is out right now..
Hurricane Sandy is speeding up
Latest radar looks to me like it is losing a lot of power—I know we don’t have any downgrade yet nor official landfall. Most think a New Jersey impact is going to happen. I made a prediction that the center rolls over somewhere in between Jersey and Delaware..
AS far as the speeding up? I see that as good and bad. The quicker the better. BUT it will meet up with the cold front quicker, too, and start causing the slow moving flooding rain..
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Amazing images of SuperSandy as she makes her way onto the Jersey shore..
This particular image is Uncle Bill’s Pancake House in Stone Harbor, New Jersey
FEAR IN THE STREETS? NOW RUMORS THAT LOOKING AND FIGHTS OVER FOOD AND GAS WILL FOLLOW SANDY
Everyone needs to calm down. Ride it out. Get through it..
FEAR IN THE STREETS? NOW RUMORS THAT LOOKING AND FIGHTS OVER FOOD AND GAS WILL FOLLOW SANDY
Youre stupid. Rea on the HAARP machine its true. Its not a conspiracy, its uses maybe questionable but definitely not fake. This hurricane is impossible for us n the east cost! Look up all the scientific data collected from the hurricane you ignorant squat.
I believe HAARP exists. As a matter of fact they have a website. That is not what I am saying. I am simply saying I do not believe HAARP created this hurricane. If I am wrong .. you and me both will never know it.
What I do believe is that weather is changing.. It’s more severe.. all the time. Is that HAARP? I know folks out there who appear on George Noory and Alex Jones say there is proof. I am not fully ‘there’ on that though..
Hurricane Sandy gets even stronger.. may hit as a category 2 strength storm
We are living through weather history. New data from the Hurricane Hunters (945mb) confirms Sandy is now the most intense hurricane ever north of NC, beating LI Express of 1938. The pressure may go even lower. Long Beach Island impact .. my favorite vacation spot (i never get to) may disappear for a while.
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This gives me hope in humanity. All the fear and doom and gloom with Hurricane Sandy coverage, and this occurs: A horsehead jogger gets on TV
Rescue operations already underway in Delaware
People ignored evacuation orders…
CNN reports this:
People stranded in flooding after ignoring evacuation orders were being saved Monday morning as Hurricane Sandy took aim at the Mid-Atlantic coast, bringing some of the nation’s busiest cities to a standstill.
Dramatic rescue efforts were under way in Oak Orchard, Delaware, a part of the state that was under a mandatory evacuation over the weekend.
Rescue operations already underway in Delaware
Good luck Long Beach Island..
Latest weather guidance: Landfall of the eye of Sandy will occur about 9pm tonight just north of Atlantic City on my favorite island in the world: Long Beach Island.
The HRRR model has pressure at 938 mb.
WOW.. 938 mb!?
Sandy set: The storm made the left turn on radar
As though this nightmare scenario of storm surges, high winds, and flooding rains couldn’t get worse, it did overnight. Hurricane Sandy got stronger—winds increased and the pressure has fallen to 946 MB (that is exceptionally low and if it goes lower it could break records).. With more warm water for an eyewall to spin on, it may get even stronger before eventually hitting the Jersey coastline this evening with intense hurricane gusts. It will bring the ocean onto the beach with it. New York City will be faced with a tide of epic proportions. The vast wall of water is going to wreck the coast line. The federal government has issued stark and ominous warnings that if you are resident of an area evacuated and don’t leave, think of a way that your body will be able to be identified. Perhaps that’s a scare tactic. But it works. Lots of people are leaving and have only a few remaining hours to do so. The window has closed for many to escape what Sandy is going to bring..
In the mean time, radar shows that Sandy has stopped moving Northeast and began the turn, the turn that forecasters feared would happen, creating the ‘Frankenstorm’ insiders warned of weeks ago when this storm began being tracked..
This storm will be a hurricane as it moves into Pennsylvania. It may remain a tropical storm as it heads to New York State.. it will still be a depression in Canada.
We are in for a storm for the ages. An epic merging of a hurricane, a cold front, a blizzard, and a disaster. This may rival the Blizzard of 1993 in historic terms..
I’ll update as much as I can.. until I can’t. If power ceases to exist, stay tuned to other sources that will better your understanding of this storm and how historic it will be.
Prayers for the East Coast. We need them.
Sunday, October 28, 2012
The other amazing aspect of this Superstorm
Wind. Rain. Floods. The high tide. The full moon. The cold front. The phase into a Nor’Easter.
And now this: Blizzard warnings along the back side, where some high parts of West Virginia could get 60 (SIXTY!?) inches of snow..
WOW.
Bloggers going offline.. is it HAARP!?
I took notice earlier today that several blogs I follow where users reside in NYC or North Carolina and Virginia have stopped updating. I assume they are prepping for Hurricane Sandy. Hopefully they are still with power. The storm’s main brunt didn’t even begin yet..
Also I love good conspiracy theories any day, but the latest rumor online that Hurricane Sandy is more intense because of HAARP is laughable. It’s a superstorm, Frankenstorm, sure.. but HAARP? No.
What we have is a product of earth changes. They are happening. We would be better off to realize that we are subject to nature.. not the other way around.
Do we manipulate? Sure. Chemtrails? I kind of believe in them. But to think that mankind would be this good at creating the perfect storm? No. They happened before and will surely happen again.
Just think.. 24 hours from RIGHT NOW, the center of Hurricane Sandy should be coming onshore somewhere in New Jersey.. Batten down the hatches. Hunker down.
And if you figure out how to ‘hunker’ let me know.
PPL Electric here in Pennsylvania is warning customers of a week-long outage from Sandy
Rumor has it from someone close to me that a restaurant was filled with workers from various states here today.. the person told the waitress they will be here for two weeks.
Could the power outages be THAT bad??
The latest National Hurricane Center advisory on Sandy, issued Sunday at 2pm
"…SANDY EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING TO THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST…INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND AND NEW YORK HARBOR…
…WINDS FORECAST TO BE NEAR HURRICANE FORCE AT LANDFALL…
…HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS.”
Something else to consider: New Jersey nuclear plants are bracing for the storm, too
The STAR LEDGER reports:
New Jersey’s nuclear plants are bracing for Sandy today, federal regulators and officials for PSEG Nuclear and Exelon said.
"We’ll have to see where it goes, but it looks like it’s going to have a pretty good hit on New Jersey," Sheehan said today.
Sheehan said that federal inspectors with satellite phones will be stationed at the plants through the storm.
Something else to consider: New Jersey nuclear plants are bracing for the storm, too
An engineer at Johns Hopkins says 10 million will lose power as hurricane Sandy strikes... That’s a lot of people but with the wind coverage it seems frighteningly likely..
Fearful storm poised to hit
The National Hurricane Center is warning with ominous alerts that a life threatening storm surge is going to hit Long Island Sound and New York Harbor
The hurricane and an earthquake AND a tsunami?
Earth is sure throwing a shit fit. Stay out if its way today.
Saturday, October 27, 2012
Forecasting Sandy is almost over. Nowcasting Sandy is about to begin..
The wind will be ferocious. Power will vanish quickly in lots of places. And the rain!? Up to 8 inches in most places hit by Hurricane Sandy.. and some forecasts are even calling for 20 inches in localized areas. That is 20 inches of rain.. this could lead to epic flooding like we have not seen in generations.. What occurs in New York City could be equally memorizing as much has it will be horrendous.
Mayor Michael Bloomberg is expected to make an announcement Sunday about mass transit in the city..
In the mean time, the Northeast has all but exhausted its hours of preparation time. Those attending Halloween parties in scantily clad nurse and cat outfits hopefully did what they needed to do during the daylight hours to get supplies, such as water, food, and batteries that can last for days if power isn’t restored..
Federal officials, along with state governments, have done what they could to warn the population about the impending threat. From New Jersey to Main.. The Carolinas to Ohio..the pain this storm brings is going to be felt far and wide. And it has begun.
The Weather Channel is offering up a top five list of why Sandy will be epic. Included with the fearful list is that high tide could worsen flooding conditions.. (It is a full moon don’t forget..)
Once again, preparation mode is about over.
Nowcasting begins.
This storm is likely to make landfall Monday night or Tuesday—but the treacherous conditions will begin long before that..
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Pretty impressive NASA shot of Hurricane Sandy.. Last night the National Hurricane Center downgraded Sandy to a tropical storm, but was forced to upgrade it again when winds increased. There is debate in weather circles about the downgrade and lots of folks think the NHC made a mistake by downgrading it—some began to think the storm will weaken.
It will strike with ferocity no matter its status.. Be aware an ready. It all begins Sunday for many..
The Saturday morning Frankenstorm update
- Accuweather has a running live blog as events develop about Sandy..
- Henry Margusity has a great blog and you can also find up to date information from him on Twitter
- Here are all of the latest maps and coordinates of Sandy
- The Weather Channel has great coverage of the storm
- And finally here is a goodnews feed andphoto wire feed
All of those links are worthy to look at now and as the storm continues.
Here at Coal Speaker base, it appears as though Sandy is going to be making a direct run for my neck of the woods. As she does she is going to be bringing hell and high water to numerous mid-Atlantic states.
I worry about the storm surge in New York City, along with the underground subway system. I really do. They are prepping for disaster, but I don’t know if they are ready for catastrophe (which we all hope to hell does not occur)..
The wind will be a major issue. I doubt my power will stay on, though I hope it fends for its electrical life as Sandy hovers over.. Also a fear: The rain. Last year Lee and Irene dumped enough to flood out so many places here in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York, Delaware.. Remember though 8 to 12 inches of rain fell over a week. This time the rain will be just as heavy and fall within 3 to 4 days. That will make situations much faster and dramatic. Flash flooding instead of a slowly creeping water line.. All this while power is out..? This is going to be a truly devastating storm for so many people..
If only divine intervention could toss it out to see.. Or Governor Chris Christie’s mighty blow from his 500 pound bag of wind. Neither appears likely at this point.